TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077470
Played Sep 5Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1614911117511611
David Heczko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 101 set 5, 6-11 — our read held David Heczko at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 1–1 David Heczko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Langer 1563 vs Heczko 1683
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Heczko 40%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 50% vs Heczko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Heczko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.80 / Heczko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077470
Langer1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 81 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Heczko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 57 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLanger1wins
AwayHeczko1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLangerHeczkoL − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.544.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 140 vs 257 / 46567.9%55.3%95 / 140 vs 257 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.80/Heczko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer—117911113D. Heczko—81111482
LAug 31 · 07:00D. Langer—811611102D. Heczko—118115123
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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