TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059251
Played Sep 2Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911119117––
Daniel Langer
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Adrian Walek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 1–0 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Walek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Walek 1664 vs Langer 1574
Walek
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 80% vs Langer 60%
Walek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 70% vs Langer 40%
Walek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek +4 · Langer +2
Walek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.73 / Langer 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Walek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059251
Walek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite47% won 70 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 77
Langer2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWalek1wins
AwayLanger0wins
Walek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWalekLangerW − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.034.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 436 vs 94 / 13751.2%68.6%223 / 436 vs 94 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekWalek 1.73/Langer 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 26 · 12:00A. Walek—111111113D. Langer—851381
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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