TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081845
Played Sep 6Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8115111315––––
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 63 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 55.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 0–4 Tomas Kypr Adrian Walek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Kypr
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1590 vs Kypr 1718
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 40% vs Kypr 60%
Kypr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 40% vs Kypr 70%
Kypr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek -3 · Kypr +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 3.00 / Kypr 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kypr)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081845
Walek3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back36% 33 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back17% 7 of 42
Kypr1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 29 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWalek0wins
AwayKypr4wins
Kypr leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKypr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek1Kypr3n = 4Kypr took 3 of 4
S2Walek1Kypr3n = 4Kypr took 3 of 4
S3Walek1Kypr3n = 4Kypr took 3 of 4
S4Walek0Kypr3n = 3Kypr took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricWalekKyprW − KBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.039.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 446 vs 54 / 9950.9%54.6%227 / 446 vs 54 / 99Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprWalek 3.00/Kypr 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek—85130T. Kypr—1111153
LMay 10 · 14:00A. Walek—711691T. Kypr—11811113
LApr 10 · 16:59A. Walek—117751T. Kypr—81111113
LApr 10 · 14:30A. Walek—951161T. Kypr—11116113
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133
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