TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065595
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111113––––
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 63 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 60.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 1–4 Tomas Kypr Jakub Simecek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Kypr
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1604 vs Kypr 1660
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 20% vs Kypr 60%
Kypr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 20% vs Kypr 40%
Kypr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek -1 · Kypr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 2.38 / Kypr 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kypr)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065595
Simecek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 40 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back22% 6 of 27
Kypr1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSimecek1wins
AwayKypr4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKypr leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKypr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek1Kypr4n = 5Kypr took 4 of 5
S2Simecek1Kypr4n = 5Kypr took 4 of 5
S3Simecek1Kypr4n = 5Kypr took 4 of 5
S4Simecek1Kypr2n = 3Kypr took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSimecekKyprS − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.839.8−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 270 vs 47 / 8953%52.8%143 / 270 vs 47 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprSimecek 2.38/Kypr 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek—98110T. Kypr—1111133
LAug 24 · 16:30J. Simecek—4111291T. Kypr—11814113
WAug 23 · 15:00J. Simecek—971111123T. Kypr—111188102
LAug 14 · 16:30J. Simecek—115791T. Kypr—61111113
LApr 24 · 18:30J. Simecek—7970T. Kypr—1111113
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113
T. Kypr10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121WSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113WSep 3 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.839713101T. Kypr1.83111111123LSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.611411113T. Kypr2.2012970WSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730WSep 3 · 16:00M. Bereiter2.00511481T. Kypr1.7311911113
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