TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065446
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119101213151012––
Daniel Unzeitig
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 92 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 57.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 5–3 Daniel Unzeitig Daniel Unzeitig has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Simecek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1604 vs Unzeitig 1616
Unzeitig
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 20% vs Unzeitig 80%
Unzeitig
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 10% vs Unzeitig 40%
Unzeitig
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek -2 · Unzeitig -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.80 / Unzeitig 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Simecek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065446
Simecek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 78 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74
Unzeitig1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 40 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSimecek5wins
AwayUnzeitig3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSimecek leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek100%3 of 3
AwayUnzeitig60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek3Unzeitig5n = 8Unzeitig took 5 of 8
S2Simecek6Unzeitig2n = 8Simecek took 6 of 8
S3Simecek6Unzeitig2n = 8Simecek took 6 of 8
S4Simecek1Unzeitig5n = 6Unzeitig took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSimecekUnzeitigS − UBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.039.0−1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 270 vs 133 / 28653%46.5%143 / 270 vs 133 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.80/Unzeitig 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Simecek—811131D. Unzeitig—11116113
LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek—611981D. Unzeitig—11811113
WAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek—1511113D. Unzeitig—13730
WAug 24 · 14:30J. Simecek—1111113D. Unzeitig—7850
WAug 23 · 14:00J. Simecek—11511133D. Unzeitig—9119111
LAug 9 · 09:29J. Simecek—1411671D. Unzeitig—16711113
WAug 9 · 08:00J. Simecek—912127143D. Unzeitig—11101011122
WAug 2 · 14:00J. Simecek—2111110113D. Unzeitig—11991292
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131WAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig2.207980M. Holub1.611111113LAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 16:58J. Simecek1.571511113D. Unzeitig2.2513730LAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132
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