TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030172
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
15131012611611––
Jiri Holubec
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Holubec to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 84 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Holubec at 57.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 0–3 Jiri Holubec Jakub Simecek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Holubec
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1627 vs Holubec 1700
Holubec
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 60% vs Holubec 80%
Holubec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 60% vs Holubec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek -1 · Holubec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Holubec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 2.20 / Holubec 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Holubec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030172
Simecek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 40 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back22% 6 of 27
Holubec1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSimecek0wins
AwayHolubec3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHolubec leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek2Holubec1n = 3Simecek took 2 of 3
S2Simecek1Holubec2n = 3Holubec took 2 of 3
S3Simecek1Holubec2n = 3Holubec took 2 of 3
S4Simecek0Holubec3n = 3Holubec took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSimecekHolubecS − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.046.7−9.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 292 vs 40 / 8352.1%48.2%152 / 292 vs 40 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecSimecek 2.20/Holubec 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek—1510661J. Holubec—131211113
LAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek—12115842J. Holubec—1091111113
LAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek—691181J. Holubec—11118113
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113
J. Holubec10
LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881WAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
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