TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13034806
Played Aug 28Finished
Jiri Holubec
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111311712141012––
Marek Holub
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMarek Holub to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Holubec above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 90 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Marek Holub at 55.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Holubec 2–5 Marek Holub Jiri Holubec has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:20What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (50%)
Holub
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Holub
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holubec 1731 vs Holub 1573
Holubec
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holubec 80% vs Holub 60%
Holubec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holubec 80% vs Holub 50%
Holubec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holubec +3 · Holub -1
Holubec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holub) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolubec 1.80 / Holub 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holub)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13034806
Holubec1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Holub1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHolubec2wins
AwayHolub5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderHolub leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolubecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHolub83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holubec1Holub6n = 7Holub took 6 of 7
S2Holubec3Holub4n = 7Holub took 4 of 7
S3Holubec4Holub3n = 7Holubec took 4 of 7
S4Holubec2Holub4n = 6Holub took 4 of 6
S5Holubec2Holub2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricHolubecHolubHolubec − HolubBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match41.345.6−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubecHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 82 vs 138 / 29548.8%46.8%40 / 82 vs 138 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolubec 1.80/Holub 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 28 · 08:00J. Holubec—8121110113M. Holub—111061292
LAug 14 · 16:00J. Holubec—611781M. Holub—11811113
LJul 13 · 17:30J. Holubec—781612112M. Holub—11111410133
LJul 13 · 16:00J. Holubec—1081291M. Holub—121110113
WApr 10 · 16:30J. Holubec—118117123M. Holub—811711102
LFeb 13 · 16:00J. Holubec—56110M. Holub—1111133
LJan 21 · 16:00J. Holubec—61141192M. Holub—116116113
J. Holubec10
WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 15:30J. Simecek2.2012115842J. Holubec1.611091111113WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881WAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781
Upcoming Matches
J. Holubec
Nothing scheduled
M. Holub
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.