TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481095
Played Aug 24Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210119511811411
Jiri Holubec
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Jiri Holubec below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 92 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 0–1 Jiri Holubec Jakub Simecek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:41What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Holubec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1719 vs Holubec 1680
Simecek
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 80% vs Holubec 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 60% vs Holubec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +1 · Holubec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Holubec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holubec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 2.20 / Holubec 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Holubec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481095
Simecek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back36% 15 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back26% 6 of 23
Holubec1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 14 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSimecek0wins
AwayHolubec1wins
Holubec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSimecekHolubecS − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekHolubecBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 277 vs 35 / 7652.7%46.1%146 / 277 vs 35 / 76Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubecSimecek 2.20/Holubec 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Holubec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holubec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek—691181J. Holubec—11118113
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113
J. Holubec10
LAug 28 · 09:30J. Holubec1.80111112101M. Holub1.8013714123WAug 28 · 08:00M. Holub1.73111061292J. Holubec2.008121110113WAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113WAug 28 · 06:30J. Holubec1.671111113D. Unzeitig2.106940LAug 24 · 17:30J. Holubec1.4411750T. Kypr2.601311113WAug 24 · 16:00J. Holubec1.73811119113D. Unzeitig2.0011481132WAug 24 · 14:00J. Holubec1.5011811113T. Kypr2.50811881WAug 14 · 17:30T. Kypr1.915660J. Holubec1.801111113LAug 14 · 16:00M. Holub1.6111811113J. Holubec2.20611781WAug 14 · 15:00J. Simecek2.00691181J. Holubec1.7311118113
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