TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029464
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11910126111210611
Tomas Petrek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 98 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 67.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 4–1 Tomas Petrek Tomas Petrek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Simecek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1658 vs Petrek 1644
Simecek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 20% vs Petrek 40%
Petrek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 40% vs Petrek 20%
Simecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek -4 · Petrek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.67 / Petrek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Simecek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029464
Simecek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Petrek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 27 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSimecek4wins
AwayPetrek1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSimecek leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek66.7%2 of 3
AwayPetrekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek3Petrek2n = 5Simecek took 3 of 5
S2Simecek3Petrek2n = 5Simecek took 3 of 5
S3Simecek1Petrek4n = 5Petrek took 4 of 5
S4Simecek4Petrek1n = 5Simecek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSimecekPetrekS − PBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match43.439.4+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 288 vs 116 / 22452.4%51.8%151 / 288 vs 116 / 224Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.67/Petrek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek—411711113T. Petrek—11711792
WAug 26 · 06:00J. Simecek—911711123T. Petrek—112117102
WAug 7 · 13:30J. Simecek—11118113T. Petrek—781191
WAug 7 · 12:00J. Simecek—11811113T. Petrek—811591
LAug 6 · 12:00J. Simecek—11910111T. Petrek—71112133
J. Simecek10
WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030LAug 28 · 08:59D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 08:30J. Simecek1.44611981D. Unzeitig2.6311811113LAug 28 · 07:00J. Simecek2.201510661J. Holubec1.61131211113
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113LAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek1.91681111102L. Martinak1.80111169123
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