TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13018122
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Petrek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151412611511118
Jakub Hutnik
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Petrek above · Jakub Hutnik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 66.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Petrek 1–4 Jakub Hutnik Tomas Petrek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:41What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Hutnik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petrek 1649 vs Hutnik 1830
Hutnik
Wrong
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petrek 20% vs Hutnik 80%
Hutnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petrek 50% vs Hutnik 80%
Hutnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petrek +1 · Hutnik +3
Hutnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetrek 2.75 / Hutnik 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Hutnik)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13018122
Petrek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 29 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back41% 11 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Hutnik1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 20 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePetrek1wins
AwayHutnik4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHutnik leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetrekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHutnik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petrek2Hutnik3n = 5Hutnik took 3 of 5
S2Petrek2Hutnik3n = 5Hutnik took 3 of 5
S3Petrek0Hutnik5n = 5Hutnik took 5 of 5
S4Petrek0Hutnik3n = 3Hutnik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricPetrekHutnikP − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match30.040.2−10.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrekHutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 228 vs 30 / 4451.8%68.2%118 / 228 vs 30 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikPetrek 2.75/Hutnik 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Petrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 28 · 13:30T. Petrek—116331J. Hutnik—61111113
LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek—6690J. Hutnik—1111113
LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek—1012491J. Hutnik—121011113
WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek—111465113J. Hutnik—512111182
LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek—51450J. Hutnik—1116113
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113LAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek1.91681111102L. Martinak1.80111169123
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113WAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113
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