TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013845
Played Aug 26Finished
Tomas Petrek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6118111161191012
Lukas Martinak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Petrek above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 95 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Petrek 8–11 Lukas Martinak Tomas Petrek has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Martinak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Martinak
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petrek 1644 vs Martinak 1673
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petrek 40% vs Martinak 60%
Martinak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petrek 50% vs Martinak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petrek -3 · Martinak +1
Petrek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetrek 1.91 / Martinak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Martinak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013845
Petrek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 27 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Martinak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 45 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetrek5wins
AwayMartinak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetrekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMartinak62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petrek2Martinak8n = 10Martinak took 8 of 10
S2Petrek3Martinak7n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S3Petrek8Martinak2n = 10Petrek took 8 of 10
S4Petrek4Martinak4n = 8split evenly
S5Petrek3Martinak1n = 4Petrek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetrekMartinakP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.9−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrekMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 228 vs 137 / 25551.3%53.7%117 / 228 vs 137 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakPetrek 1.91/Martinak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 07:00T. Petrek—381191L. Martinak—11115113
WAug 26 · 08:58T. Petrek—1212113L. Martinak—101040
LAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek—681111102L. Martinak—111169123
LJul 31 · 21:29T. Petrek—4811101L. Martinak—11119123
WJul 31 · 19:00T. Petrek—711114113L. Martinak—11971192
LJul 30 · 20:59T. Petrek—58100L. Martinak—1111123
WJul 30 · 19:00T. Petrek—117811113L. Martinak—91111642
WJul 17 · 09:00T. Petrek—81111113L. Martinak—115751
LJul 17 · 07:00T. Petrek—651181L. Martinak—11118113
WJul 16 · 06:00T. Petrek—591111113L. Martinak—11117782
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133WAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191LAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113
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