TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020131
Played Aug 27Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113118511119––
Tomas Petrek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 55.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 11–9 Tomas Petrek Tomas Petrek has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Petrek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Martinak
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1650 vs Petrek 1649
Martinak
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Petrek 40%
Martinak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 60% vs Petrek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak +1 · Petrek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.83 / Petrek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020131
Martinak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Petrek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartinak5wins
AwayPetrek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartinak71.4%5 of 7
AwayPetrek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinak7Petrek3n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S2Martinak7Petrek3n = 10Martinak took 7 of 10
S3Martinak2Petrek8n = 10Petrek took 8 of 10
S4Martinak4Petrek4n = 8split evenly
S5Martinak1Petrek2n = 3Petrek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartinakPetrekM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.437.7+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 263 vs 118 / 22853.2%51.8%140 / 263 vs 118 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.83/Petrek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martinak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak—7138111T. Petrek—111111133
WAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak—11115113T. Petrek—381191
LAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak—101040T. Petrek—1212113
WAug 26 · 07:00L. Martinak—111169123T. Petrek—681111102
WJul 31 · 21:29L. Martinak—11119123T. Petrek—4811101
LJul 31 · 19:00L. Martinak—11971192T. Petrek—711114113
WJul 30 · 20:59L. Martinak—1111123T. Petrek—58100
LJul 30 · 19:00L. Martinak—91111642T. Petrek—117811113
LJul 17 · 09:00L. Martinak—115751T. Petrek—81111113
WJul 17 · 07:00L. Martinak—11118113T. Petrek—651181
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113LAug 26 · 07:00T. Petrek1.91681111102L. Martinak1.80111169123
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