TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077445
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119114511116
Lukas Martinak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Snr above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 62.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 7–7 Lukas Martinak Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1617 vs Martinak 1650
Martinak
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 20% vs Martinak 80%
Martinak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 10% vs Martinak 70%
Martinak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -3 · Martinak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martinak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.83 / Martinak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Martinak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077445
Snr1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Martinak1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnr4wins
AwayMartinak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMartinak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr40%2 of 5
AwayMartinak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr5Martinak5n = 10split evenly
S2Snr8Martinak2n = 10Snr took 8 of 10
S3Snr5Martinak5n = 10split evenly
S4Snr2Martinak7n = 9Martinak took 7 of 9
S5Snr2Martinak4n = 6Martinak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnrMartinakS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.844.4−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 240 vs 146 / 27550.8%53.1%122 / 240 vs 146 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakSnr 1.83/Martinak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr—811115113L. Martinak—11941162
LSep 1 · 09:00J. Snr—11101271L. Martinak—81214113
WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr—11112113L. Martinak—691171
LJul 31 · 18:00J. Snr—11116232L. Martinak—771111113
LJul 21 · 06:30J. Snr—11129992L. Martinak—9101111113
WJul 16 · 09:30J. Snr—1411123L. Martinak—127100
LJul 16 · 08:00J. Snr—51591172L. Martinak—1113118113
LJul 3 · 15:00J. Snr—1381191L. Martinak—15119113
WJun 5 · 16:00J. Snr—6111110113L. Martinak—11891292
LMay 22 · 15:00J. Snr—91311982L. Martinak—1111411113
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171LSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 20:00J. Snr1.509121791T. Petrek2.50111019113LJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik2.1011117113J. Snr1.67851191
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171
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