TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052418
Played Sep 1Finished
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119211117––
Lukas Martinak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Snr above · Lukas Martinak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 61.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 6–7 Lukas Martinak Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Snr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1586 vs Martinak 1680
Martinak
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 0% vs Martinak 60%
Martinak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 30% vs Martinak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -5 · Martinak +2
Snr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.80 / Martinak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Snr)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052418
Snr1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 59 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 44 of 61
Martinak1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 39 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnr3wins
AwayMartinak7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMartinak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr33.3%2 of 6
AwayMartinak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr6Martinak4n = 10Snr took 6 of 10
S2Snr8Martinak2n = 10Snr took 8 of 10
S3Snr4Martinak6n = 10Martinak took 6 of 10
S4Snr2Martinak7n = 9Martinak took 7 of 9
S5Snr1Martinak5n = 6Martinak took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnrMartinakS − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.545.2−2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrMartinakBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 236 vs 144 / 26750.4%53.9%119 / 236 vs 144 / 267Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.80/Martinak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:00J. Snr—11101271L. Martinak—81214113
WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr—11112113L. Martinak—691171
LJul 31 · 18:00J. Snr—11116232L. Martinak—771111113
LJul 21 · 06:30J. Snr—11129992L. Martinak—9101111113
WJul 16 · 09:30J. Snr—1411123L. Martinak—127100
LJul 16 · 08:00J. Snr—51591172L. Martinak—1113118113
LJul 3 · 15:00J. Snr—1381191L. Martinak—15119113
WJun 5 · 16:00J. Snr—6111110113L. Martinak—11891292
LMay 22 · 15:00J. Snr—91311982L. Martinak—1111411113
LApr 11 · 18:30J. Snr—11115792L. Martinak—791111113
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120LSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 20:00J. Snr1.509121791T. Petrek2.50111019113LJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik2.1011117113J. Snr1.67851191
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271
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