TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331898
Played Jul 31Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115711119––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Snr to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr at 58.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 16–19 Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr Richard Skacelik has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-19 in 35
Snr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1603 vs Snr 1655
Snr
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 40% vs Snr 60%
Snr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 50% vs Snr 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -2 · Snr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 2.10 / Snr 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Snr)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331898
Skacelik2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 90 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Snr1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it73% 47 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik5wins
AwaySnr5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik80%4 of 5
AwaySnr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik5Snr5n = 10split evenly
S2Skacelik5Snr5n = 10split evenly
S3Skacelik5Snr5n = 10split evenly
S4Skacelik6Snr3n = 9Skacelik took 6 of 9
S5Skacelik2Snr3n = 5Snr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikSnrSkacelik − SnrBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.442.8−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 387 vs 122 / 23847.3%51.3%183 / 387 vs 122 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSkacelik 2.10/Snr 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.8%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik—11117113J. Snr—851191
LJul 26 · 06:00R. Skacelik—9911121J. Snr—11112143
WJul 11 · 17:00R. Skacelik—1211133J. Snr—109110
LJul 11 · 16:00R. Skacelik—6111161J. Snr—11137113
WJul 3 · 16:30R. Skacelik—91111153J. Snr—1149131
LJun 8 · 16:30R. Skacelik—81581182J. Snr—1113118113
WJun 5 · 17:30R. Skacelik—142611113J. Snr—121111882
WJun 5 · 15:00R. Skacelik—1291112113J. Snr—101161442
LJun 1 · 17:30R. Skacelik—13551162J. Snr—1111115113
LJun 1 · 16:00R. Skacelik—61151152J. Snr—118119113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171LSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 20:00J. Snr1.509121791T. Petrek2.50111019113
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