Jan Stoch vs Richard Skacelik 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13066162

Played Sep 2Finished

Jan Stoch

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1141311511811911

Richard Skacelik

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingJan Stoch above · Richard Skacelik below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 94 set 5, 9-11

94 points played in total.

H2H Jan Stoch 6–5 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 5 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stoch)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Skacelik form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStoch 1.67 / Skacelik 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Stoch)+0.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13066162

Stoch1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 14 of 28

Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6

Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15

Skacelik2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog45% won 93 of 205

Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 105

Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStoch6wins

AwaySkacelik4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderStoch leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStoch50%3 of 6

AwaySkacelik25%1 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stoch6Skacelik4n = 10Stoch took 6 of 10

S2Stoch5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly

S3Stoch4Skacelik6n = 10Skacelik took 6 of 10

S4Stoch7Skacelik1n = 8Stoch took 7 of 8

S5Stoch2Skacelik3n = 5Skacelik took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricStochSkacelikStoch − SkacelikBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.943.2−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStochSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 105 vs 202 / 42840%47.2%42 / 105 vs 202 / 428Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stoch

Stoch 1.67/Skacelik 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Stoch · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Skacelik won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 2 · 14:30J. Stoch—11512113R. Skacelik—5111091

LJul 13 · 15:00J. Stoch—12811862R. Skacelik—1011611113

LJun 22 · 16:00J. Stoch—116131162R. Skacelik—911158113

WJun 17 · 14:00J. Stoch—1411711113R. Skacelik—16911982

LJun 15 · 17:00J. Stoch—167611122R. Skacelik—1411119143

WJun 15 · 15:00J. Stoch—51111123R. Skacelik—1179101

LJun 8 · 17:03J. Stoch—8580R. Skacelik—1111113

WJun 8 · 15:00J. Stoch—511911113R. Skacelik—11711892

WMay 27 · 16:00J. Stoch—1111163R. Skacelik—49140

WApr 2 · 14:00J. Stoch—111213113R. Skacelik—7101571

J. Stoch10

LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840 WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142 WSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113 LAug 12 · 17:00J. Stoch1.83711751R. Vavrecka1.8311511113 LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132 LAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961 WAug 12 · 14:30J. Stoch1.801111113V. Adamczyk1.914530 WJul 16 · 17:02A. Walek1.731041431J. Stoch2.00121112113 LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113 LJul 16 · 15:30S. Byrtus2.3811117113J. Stoch1.53871191

R. Skacelik10

WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113 WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730 WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113 LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113 LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881 LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111 LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113 LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121 WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251 WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121

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