TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12405276
Played Aug 12Finished
Jan Stoch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115113––––
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Stoch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Stoch above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 45 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Jan Stoch at 54.0%
45 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stoch 1532 vs Adamczyk 1504
Stoch
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stoch 20% vs Adamczyk 0%
Stoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stoch 30% vs Adamczyk 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stoch +1 · Adamczyk -5
Adamczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoch 1.80 / Adamczyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stoch)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12405276
Stoch1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Adamczyk1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 27 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back38% 12 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStochAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 109 vs 88 / 15641.3%56.4%45 / 109 vs 88 / 156Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StochStoch 1.80/Adamczyk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stoch won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Stoch10
LSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142WSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 12 · 17:00J. Stoch1.83711751R. Vavrecka1.8311511113LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132LAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961WJul 16 · 17:02A. Walek1.731041431J. Stoch2.00121112113LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113LJul 16 · 15:30S. Byrtus2.3811117113J. Stoch1.53871191
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670
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