TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481147
Played Aug 24Finished
David Heczko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117811911––
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 1–3 Vladimir Adamczyk David Heczko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Adamczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1606 vs Adamczyk 1576
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Adamczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 60% vs Adamczyk 40%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Adamczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.10 / Adamczyk 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamczyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12481147
Heczko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 55 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Adamczyk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 64 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHeczko1wins
AwayAdamczyk3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko1Adamczyk3n = 4Adamczyk took 3 of 4
S2Heczko1Adamczyk3n = 4Adamczyk took 3 of 4
S3Heczko2Adamczyk2n = 4split evenly
S4Heczko0Adamczyk3n = 3Adamczyk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHeczkoAdamczykH − ABasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.038.8−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 452 vs 102 / 18455.1%55.4%249 / 452 vs 102 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykHeczko 2.10/Adamczyk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko—811891V. Adamczyk—11711113
LJun 30 · 18:30D. Heczko—771191V. Adamczyk—11116113
WMay 8 · 11:30D. Heczko—116118113V. Adamczyk—81171162
LMar 29 · 10:00D. Heczko—8740V. Adamczyk—1111113
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670WAug 19 · 19:30M. Heczko2.5061113642V. Adamczyk1.501151111113
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