TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455593
Played Aug 19Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412116117––––
Jakub Hutnik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Hutnik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Jakub Hutnik below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 61 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Hutnik at 60.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 1–2 Jakub Hutnik Vladimir Adamczyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1575 vs Hutnik 1762
Hutnik
Wrong
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 40% vs Hutnik 100%
Hutnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 50% vs Hutnik 90%
Hutnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +2 · Hutnik +5
Hutnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hutnik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.20 / Hutnik 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Hutnik)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455593
Adamczyk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 31 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back37% 14 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Hutnik1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdamczyk1wins
AwayHutnik2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHutnik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk1Hutnik2n = 3Hutnik took 2 of 3
S2Adamczyk2Hutnik1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
S3Adamczyk2Hutnik1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamczykHutnikA − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.336.3−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykHutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 174 vs 17 / 2656.3%65.4%98 / 174 vs 17 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HutnikAdamczyk 2.20/Hutnik 1.61
Miss
What we said
64.7%
Hutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 13 · 13:30V. Adamczyk—91111972J. Hutnik—116911113
LAug 13 · 12:30V. Adamczyk—11570J. Hutnik—1311113
WAug 13 · 08:30V. Adamczyk—1111113J. Hutnik—9980
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 19:30M. Heczko2.5061113642V. Adamczyk1.501151111113
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113WAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113
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