TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455606
Played Aug 19Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111151311611411
Vladimir Adamczyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Vladimir Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 58.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 2–6 Vladimir Adamczyk Marcel Heczko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Adamczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Adamczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1550 vs Adamczyk 1565
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Adamczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Adamczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -2 · Adamczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.50 / Adamczyk 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Adamczyk)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12455606
Heczko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back27% 22 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Adamczyk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 62 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHeczko2wins
AwayAdamczyk6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko50%2 of 4
AwayAdamczyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko4Adamczyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Heczko3Adamczyk5n = 8Adamczyk took 5 of 8
S3Heczko1Adamczyk7n = 8Adamczyk took 7 of 8
S4Heczko2Adamczyk2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricHeczkoAdamczykH − ABasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match32.637.2−4.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 573 vs 97 / 17347.8%56.1%274 / 573 vs 97 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykHeczko 2.50/Adamczyk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 15 · 18:00M. Heczko—9370V. Adamczyk—1111113
LJun 8 · 20:58M. Heczko—118711102V. Adamczyk—311115123
WJun 8 · 18:30M. Heczko—1613113V. Adamczyk—141150
LJun 5 · 19:00M. Heczko—9940V. Adamczyk—1111113
WMay 23 · 20:30M. Heczko—11146113V. Adamczyk—9121191
LApr 28 · 06:00M. Heczko—127991V. Adamczyk—101111113
LApr 9 · 07:00M. Heczko—711691V. Adamczyk—11911113
LApr 4 · 06:30M. Heczko—10470V. Adamczyk—1211113
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670
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