Petr Danko vs Marcel Heczko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13071778

Played Sep 3Finished

Petr Danko

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

119811118911119

Marcel Heczko

Away

2.63

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingPetr Danko above · Marcel Heczko below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 98 set 5, 11-9

98 points played in total.

H2H Petr Danko 10–5 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 5 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Danko)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDanko 1.44 / Heczko 2.63

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Danko)+1.2pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13071778

Danko1.44

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite55% won 23 of 42

Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27

Heczko2.63

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog42% won 66 of 159

Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 90

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDanko7wins

AwayHeczko3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderDanko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDanko100%4 of 4

AwayHeczko50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Danko4Heczko6n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10

S2Danko7Heczko3n = 10Danko took 7 of 10

S3Danko7Heczko3n = 10Danko took 7 of 10

S4Danko4Heczko4n = 8split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDankoHeczkoD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.5+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDankoHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 207 vs 277 / 57450.2%48.3%104 / 207 vs 277 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Danko

Danko 1.44/Heczko 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

65.7%

Danko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Danko won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 16 · 06:30P. Danko—1110115113M. Heczko—81261122

LJun 16 · 14:30P. Danko—711951M. Heczko—11711113

WMay 19 · 12:30P. Danko—81111113M. Heczko—119391

LApr 9 · 09:00P. Danko—4111191M. Heczko—11136113

WApr 9 · 06:00P. Danko—1111123M. Heczko—82100

WApr 8 · 12:00P. Danko—1112113M. Heczko—51090

WFeb 11 · 13:30P. Danko—11114113M. Heczko—481151

WFeb 6 · 09:30P. Danko—1111711113M. Heczko—13711982

WJan 26 · 07:00P. Danko—91111113M. Heczko—115381

LJan 14 · 10:30P. Danko—6913111M. Heczko—111111133

P. Danko10

WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110 WSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113 LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133 LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050 LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko2.5051090S. Byrtus1.501112113 WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181 LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132 WAug 21 · 09:30J. Schwan1.739119101P. Danko2.0011411123 LAug 21 · 08:00P. Danko1.9111991462J. Schwan1.807111112113 WAug 21 · 07:30O. Hradil1.917720P. Danko1.801111113

M. Heczko10

LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191 WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120 WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113 WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551 WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892 LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891 LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113 LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110 WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113 WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471

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