TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070864
Played Sep 4Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117118119––
Marcel Heczko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 10–8 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1462 vs Heczko 1578
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 20% vs Heczko 40%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 20% vs Heczko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +1 · Heczko -3
Heczko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.61 / Heczko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vavrecka)-1.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13070864
Vavrecka1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 44 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Heczko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 65 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka8wins
AwayHeczko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka75%6 of 8
AwayHeczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka8Heczko2n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S2Vavrecka7Heczko3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S3Vavrecka7Heczko3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka5Heczko3n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaHeczkoV − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.534.6+7.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 269 vs 279 / 58051.3%48.1%138 / 269 vs 279 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.61/Heczko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka—61111113M. Heczko—117891
WJul 26 · 15:30R. Vavrecka—91111113M. Heczko—118671
WJul 21 · 18:00R. Vavrecka—1111113M. Heczko—3830
WJul 19 · 20:00R. Vavrecka—131211153M. Heczko—11147131
LJul 17 · 21:30R. Vavrecka—11119982M. Heczko—681111113
WJul 17 · 18:30R. Vavrecka—1191110123M. Heczko—311412102
WJul 2 · 18:00R. Vavrecka—1112113M. Heczko—31090
WMar 15 · 18:28R. Vavrecka—11911123M. Heczko—7113101
WMar 15 · 16:30R. Vavrecka—11117113M. Heczko—761191
LFeb 27 · 08:30R. Vavrecka—11119292M. Heczko—861111113
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka1.44414481J. Schwan2.63111211113
M. Heczko10
LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavrecka
M. Heczko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.