TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13001838
Played Aug 25Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191141012118––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Langer at 70.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 1–0 Radomir Vavrecka Radomir Vavrecka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Langer 1686 vs Vavrecka 1488
Langer
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 80% vs Vavrecka 20%
Langer
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 80% vs Vavrecka 20%
Langer
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +2 · Vavrecka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.83 / Vavrecka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Langer)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13001838
Langer1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Vavrecka1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLanger1wins
AwayVavrecka0wins
Langer leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLangerVavreckaL − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.033.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 114 vs 136 / 26372.8%51.7%83 / 114 vs 136 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.83/Vavrecka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer—111110113R. Vavrecka—941281
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka1.44414481J. Schwan2.63111211113
Upcoming Matches
D. Langer
Nothing scheduled
R. Vavrecka
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