TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465638
Played Aug 21Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111412411811––
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 64.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 11–3 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1503 vs Schwan 1542
Schwan
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 0% vs Schwan 40%
Schwan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 30% vs Schwan 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -5 · Schwan +1
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.44 / Schwan 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Vavrecka)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12465638
Vavrecka1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 48 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Schwan2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 23 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka8wins
AwaySchwan2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka100%6 of 6
AwaySchwan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Schwan4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka8Schwan2n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S3Vavrecka3Schwan7n = 10Schwan took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka5Schwan3n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka4Schwan0n = 4Vavrecka took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaSchwanV − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.3+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 261 vs 117 / 25052.1%46.8%136 / 261 vs 117 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.44/Schwan 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka—414481J. Schwan—111211113
WAug 17 · 20:58R. Vavrecka—1112113J. Schwan—81090
WAug 17 · 19:00R. Vavrecka—11114113J. Schwan—891171
WJul 29 · 06:30R. Vavrecka—1111113J. Schwan—9890
WMay 29 · 08:30R. Vavrecka—1141211113J. Schwan—81114562
LMay 14 · 20:30R. Vavrecka—911751J. Schwan—11611113
WMar 20 · 10:00R. Vavrecka—4111011113J. Schwan—11812942
WMar 20 · 07:00R. Vavrecka—311117113J. Schwan—11541172
WMar 18 · 17:30R. Vavrecka—11118113J. Schwan—961161
WFeb 27 · 09:00R. Vavrecka—119712113J. Schwan—711111042
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113
J. Schwan10
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak1.8341111113J. Schwan1.83116691LAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113WAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavrecka
J. Schwan
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