TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076564
Played Sep 4Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412113––––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeAlfred Rinka to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 57 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Alfred Rinka at 64.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 1–1 Radomir Vavrecka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rinka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1573 vs Vavrecka 1492
Rinka
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 80% vs Vavrecka 40%
Rinka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 40% vs Vavrecka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka +4 · Vavrecka +2
Rinka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rinka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 1.61 / Vavrecka 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Rinka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076564
Rinka1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite45% won 9 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Vavrecka2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 44 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRinka1wins
AwayVavrecka1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRinkaVavreckaR − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.535.0+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 56 vs 138 / 26846.4%51.5%26 / 56 vs 138 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaRinka 1.61/Vavrecka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Rinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka—1111113R. Vavrecka—5780
LAug 3 · 07:00A. Rinka—114714102R. Vavrecka—4111112123
A. Rinka10
LSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582WSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113WSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660WSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:30A. Rinka1.9111119472P. Danko1.80281111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka1.44414481J. Schwan2.63111211113
Upcoming Matches
A. Rinka
Nothing scheduled
R. Vavrecka
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