TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065087
Played Sep 3Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
112118911411711
Petr Danko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Danko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Petr Danko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Petr Danko at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Danko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1494 vs Danko 1613
Danko
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 0% vs Danko 20%
Danko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 30% vs Danko 50%
Danko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka -5 · Danko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Danko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 1.91 / Danko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Danko)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065087
Rinka1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Danko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaDankoBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 50 vs 103 / 20642%50%21 / 50 vs 103 / 206Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DankoRinka 1.91/Danko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Danko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Rinka10
LSep 7 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61971141J. Levicky2.2011119113LSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230WSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582WSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113WSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660WSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
P. Danko10
WSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192WSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110LSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 26 · 12:58D. Langer1.831212113P. Danko1.83101050LAug 26 · 12:30P. Danko2.5051090S. Byrtus1.501112113WAug 26 · 11:00P. Danko2.0011117113D. Langer1.73791181LAug 26 · 10:00A. Walek2.00111166113P. Danko1.7359111132WAug 21 · 09:30J. Schwan1.739119101P. Danko2.0011411123LAug 21 · 08:00P. Danko1.9111991462J. Schwan1.807111112113WAug 21 · 07:30O. Hradil1.917720P. Danko1.801111113
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