TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081871
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811711––––
Jakub Levicky
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 61 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 66.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 5–0 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Schwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Schwan
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1596 vs Levicky 1668
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 40% vs Levicky 80%
Levicky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 60% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan -1 · Levicky +4
Levicky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 1.28 / Levicky 3.50
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Schwan)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13081871
Schwan1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 45 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Levicky3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 67 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSchwan5wins
AwayLevicky0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSchwan leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchwan100%3 of 3
AwayLevickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schwan3Levicky2n = 5Schwan took 3 of 5
S2Schwan5Levicky0n = 5Schwan took 5 of 5
S3Schwan5Levicky0n = 5Schwan took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSchwanLevickyS − LBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.429.8+8.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 258 vs 446 / 88247.3%50.6%122 / 258 vs 446 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanSchwan 1.28/Levicky 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.9%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 17 · 20:30J. Schwan—51111133J. Levicky—1193111
WMar 16 · 13:00J. Schwan—1111113J. Levicky—6630
WFeb 27 · 08:00J. Schwan—1113113J. Levicky—61190
WFeb 22 · 08:30J. Schwan—1113113J. Levicky—81140
WFeb 21 · 08:00J. Schwan—417115123J. Levicky—1115411102
J. Schwan10
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak1.8341111113J. Schwan1.83116691LAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113WAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162WAug 25 · 19:00J. Schwan1.501119123D. Langer2.50917100
J. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482WSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113
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