TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003398
Played Aug 25Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11919171210––––
Daniel Langer
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 19-17
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 78 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 55.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 2–0 Daniel Langer Daniel Langer has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:03What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1581 vs Langer 1686
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 80% vs Langer 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 50% vs Langer 80%
Langer
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan +1 · Langer +3
Langer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 1.50 / Langer 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Schwan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003398
Schwan1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 49 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Langer2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 7 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back33% 3 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSchwan2wins
AwayLanger0wins
Schwan leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSchwanLangerS − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.028.0+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 253 vs 83 / 11447.4%72.8%120 / 253 vs 83 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanSchwan 1.50/Langer 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 25 · 19:00J. Schwan—1119123D. Langer—917100
WJul 25 · 18:30J. Schwan—1111123D. Langer—64100
J. Schwan10
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak1.8341111113J. Schwan1.83116691LAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113WAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113WAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113
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