TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077556
Played Sep 5Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711911116119117
Adrian Walek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeAdrian Walek to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Adrian Walek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Adrian Walek at 55.4%
93 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 1–2 Adrian Walek Daniel Langer has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Walek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1549 vs Walek 1699
Walek
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Walek 80%
Walek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 40% vs Walek 70%
Walek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -2 · Walek +3
Walek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Walek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.91 / Walek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Walek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077556
Langer1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back35% 6 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Walek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 67 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it68% 49 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLanger1wins
AwayWalek2wins
Walek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLangern = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayWalek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer0Walek3n = 3Walek took 3 of 3
S2Langer2Walek1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S3Langer2Walek1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3
S4Langer1Walek2n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLangerWalekL − WBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match35.738.3−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerWalekBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 141 vs 226 / 44067.4%51.4%95 / 141 vs 226 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekLanger 1.91/Walek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 17:30D. Langer—61111113A. Walek—115581
LSep 2 · 16:30D. Langer—711971A. Walek—11911113
LAug 26 · 12:00D. Langer—851381A. Walek—111111113
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113WSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971
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