TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059232
Played Sep 2Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711911114118
David Heczko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Heczko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held David Heczko at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Langer 1–1 David Heczko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Langer 1574 vs Heczko 1665
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Heczko 60%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 40% vs Heczko 60%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer +1 · Heczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.91 / Heczko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059232
Langer1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Heczko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 103 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLanger1wins
AwayHeczko1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLangerHeczkoL − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.544.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 137 vs 257 / 46368.6%55.5%94 / 137 vs 257 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoLanger 1.91/Heczko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer—117911113D. Heczko—81111482
LAug 31 · 07:00D. Langer—811611102D. Heczko—118115123
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
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