TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077448
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Martinak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
David Heczko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Martinak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Martinak above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Martinak at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Martinak 0–1 David Heczko Lukas Martinak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Martinak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martinak 1677 vs Heczko 1679
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinak 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinak 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinak -1 · Heczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinak 1.80 / Heczko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077448
Martinak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 49 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 37 of 51
Heczko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 57 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartinak0wins
AwayHeczko1wins
Heczko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMartinakHeczkoM − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.033.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinakHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 269 vs 256 / 46253.9%55.4%145 / 269 vs 256 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinakMartinak 1.80/Heczko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Martinak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 11:30L. Martinak—5990D. Heczko—1111113
L. Martinak10
LSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113WSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113LSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121LSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162WSep 5 · 06:00L. Martinak1.73111153113A. Walek2.0075111162WSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
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