TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059471
Played Sep 2Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118115––––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 57 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 24–22 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-22 in 46
Heczko
Correct
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1665 vs Byrtus 1617
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Byrtus 40%
Heczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 60% vs Byrtus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -2 · Byrtus -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.91 / Byrtus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059471
Heczko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 57 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Byrtus1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 92 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko5wins
AwayByrtus5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko80%4 of 5
AwayByrtus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S2Heczko5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Heczko6Byrtus4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko4Byrtus4n = 8split evenly
S5Heczko2Byrtus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoByrtusH − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.5+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 463 vs 303 / 58755.5%51.6%257 / 463 vs 303 / 587Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusHeczko 1.91/Byrtus 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko—1211113S. Byrtus—10850
WAug 31 · 08:00D. Heczko—1116133S. Byrtus—814110
LAug 27 · 09:30D. Heczko—861111132S. Byrtus—111164153
WAug 27 · 08:00D. Heczko—961112113S. Byrtus—111161072
LAug 25 · 09:30D. Heczko—811791S. Byrtus—11511113
LAug 25 · 07:30D. Heczko—6111271S. Byrtus—111310113
WAug 23 · 12:00D. Heczko—11116113S. Byrtus—551181
LAug 21 · 10:00D. Heczko—123691S. Byrtus—101111113
LAug 19 · 09:04D. Heczko—7111210122S. Byrtus—1181012143
WAug 19 · 06:30D. Heczko—12101211113S. Byrtus—101214742
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 15:30D. Langer1.91117911113D. Heczko1.8081111482
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133LAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121
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