TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046838
Played Aug 31Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119911112––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 66.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 7–10 Samuel Byrtus Dalimil Machander has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Byrtus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Machander 1561 vs Byrtus 1668
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 60% vs Byrtus 80%
Byrtus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 40% vs Byrtus 70%
Byrtus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander +1 · Byrtus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 2.25 / Byrtus 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Byrtus)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046838
Machander2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 78 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back35% 34 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 53
Byrtus1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 92 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachander4wins
AwayByrtus6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander60%3 of 5
AwayByrtus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S2Machander4Byrtus6n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10
S3Machander3Byrtus7n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S4Machander6Byrtus2n = 8Machander took 6 of 8
S5Machander1Byrtus3n = 4Byrtus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachanderByrtusM − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.8−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 343 vs 303 / 58446.7%51.9%160 / 343 vs 303 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusMachander 2.25/Byrtus 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander—11119113S. Byrtus—591121
LAug 30 · 21:29D. Machander—114911102S. Byrtus—611117123
LAug 30 · 18:00D. Machander—8970S. Byrtus—1111113
LAug 28 · 14:00D. Machander—711571S. Byrtus—11711113
LAug 19 · 08:30D. Machander—11169762S. Byrtus—8141111113
WJul 31 · 16:59D. Machander—12711113S. Byrtus—1011871
LJul 31 · 15:30D. Machander—61361162S. Byrtus—1111112113
WJul 19 · 13:03D. Machander—11611113S. Byrtus—411581
LJul 19 · 11:30D. Machander—11960S. Byrtus—1311113
WJul 13 · 15:30D. Machander—671114123S. Byrtus—1111712102
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970
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