Samuel Byrtus vs Dalimil Machander 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13049789

Played Aug 30Finished

Samuel Byrtus

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

6111141197111210

Dalimil Machander

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Dalimil Machander below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 92 set 5, 12-10

92 points played in total.

H2H Samuel Byrtus 9–6 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 6 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Byrtus)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Machander form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsByrtus 1.57 / Machander 2.25

Signal prob.63% / 38%

Edge (Byrtus)+3.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13049789

Byrtus1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite59% won 88 of 149

Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43

Up 1–0, closes it71% 62 of 87

Machander2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog42% won 75 of 177

Down 0–1, comes back35% 35 of 99

Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 54

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeByrtus7wins

AwayMachander3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeByrtus83.3%5 of 6

AwayMachander50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Byrtus6Machander4n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10

S2Byrtus7Machander3n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10

S3Byrtus6Machander4n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10

S4Byrtus3Machander4n = 7Machander took 4 of 7

S5Byrtus3Machander1n = 4Byrtus took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricByrtusMachanderB − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.2+5.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricByrtusMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 579 vs 158 / 33851.6%46.8%299 / 579 vs 158 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Byrtus

Byrtus 1.57/Machander 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Byrtus · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Byrtus won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus—1111113D. Machander—8970

WAug 28 · 14:00S. Byrtus—11711113D. Machander—711571

WAug 19 · 08:30S. Byrtus—8141111113D. Machander—11169762

LJul 31 · 16:59S. Byrtus—1011871D. Machander—12711113

WJul 31 · 15:30S. Byrtus—1111112113D. Machander—61361162

LJul 19 · 13:03S. Byrtus—411581D. Machander—11611113

WJul 19 · 11:30S. Byrtus—1311113D. Machander—11960

LJul 13 · 15:30S. Byrtus—1111712102D. Machander—671114123

WJul 12 · 16:00S. Byrtus—5111011113D. Machander—11512232

WJun 9 · 17:28S. Byrtus—1111113D. Machander—5850

S. Byrtus10

LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572 LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850 LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101 LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113 WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113 WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113 LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171 WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770 WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113 LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133

D. Machander10

LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113 LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172 WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121 WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113 WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871 WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790 LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970 LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142 WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560 LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780

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