Daniel Langer vs Dalimil Machander 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13047410

Played Aug 30Finished

Daniel Langer

Home

1.98

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1412311119511114

Dalimil Machander

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Dalimil Machander below

Set 1 · 14-12

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 11-4

Point 91 set 5, 11-4

91 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Langer 2–1 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 2–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Machander form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLanger 1.98 / Machander 1.73

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Langer)+7.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13047410

Langer1.98

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog46% won 10 of 22

Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14

Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7

Machander1.73

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite55% won 53 of 96

Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeLanger2wins

AwayMachander1wins

1 of 3 to a deciderLanger leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Langer1Machander2n = 3Machander took 2 of 3

S2Langer2Machander1n = 3Langer took 2 of 3

S3Langer1Machander2n = 3Machander took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home133%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away133%

These 3 meetings

MetricLangerMachanderL − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.737.3+0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLangerMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 126 vs 156 / 33470.6%46.7%89 / 126 vs 156 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Langer

Langer 1.98/Machander 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Langer · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Langer won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

LAug 30 · 12:00D. Langer—5560D. Machander—1111113

WAug 29 · 17:02D. Langer—111212113D. Machander—8101471

WAug 29 · 16:30D. Langer—7111111113D. Machander—11551362

D. Langer10

LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113 WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142 WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561 WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113 WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113 WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972 LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113 LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161 WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113 LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971

D. Machander10

LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113 LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172 WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121 WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113 LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102 WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871 WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790 LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970 WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560 LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780

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