TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051684
Played Aug 31Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911711119511
David Heczko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 96 set 5, 5-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 5–7 David Heczko Dalimil Machander has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.83 / Heczko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051684
Machander1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Heczko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMachander5wins
AwayHeczko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMachander50%3 of 6
AwayHeczko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Machander6Heczko4n = 10Machander took 6 of 10
S2Machander5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Machander5Heczko5n = 10split evenly
S4Machander2Heczko4n = 6Heczko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMachanderHeczkoM − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.732.7+4.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 342 vs 255 / 45946.8%55.6%160 / 342 vs 255 / 459Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoMachander 1.83/Heczko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 06:30D. Machander—1111113D. Heczko—6680
WAug 19 · 07:00D. Machander—11119113D. Heczko—551161
LAug 17 · 19:00D. Machander—910100D. Heczko—1112123
WAug 2 · 09:08D. Machander—1111113D. Heczko—5310
LAug 2 · 08:30D. Machander—1110121082D. Heczko—4121012113
WJul 22 · 07:00D. Machander—611119113D. Heczko—11681192
LJul 19 · 12:00D. Machander—118781D. Heczko—61111113
LJul 12 · 14:00D. Machander—1181161D. Heczko—91113113
LJun 21 · 20:30D. Machander—7870D. Heczko—1111113
WJun 9 · 15:00D. Machander—61111113D. Heczko—113571
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113
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