TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042181
Played Aug 30Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115116––––
Daniel Langer
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Langer to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Daniel Langer below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Daniel Langer at 63.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 0–2 Daniel Langer Dalimil Machander has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1501 vs Langer 1649
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 0% vs Langer 60%
Langer
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 10% vs Langer 50%
Langer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -5 · Langer +1
Machander
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Langer) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.91 / Langer 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Langer)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042181
Machander1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 75 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back35% 35 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 54
Langer1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 78 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMachander0wins
AwayLanger2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLanger leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMachanderLangerM − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.548.5−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 333 vs 89 / 12546.6%71.2%155 / 333 vs 89 / 125Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerMachander 1.91/Langer 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 29 · 17:02D. Machander—8101471D. Langer—111212113
LAug 29 · 16:30D. Machander—11551362D. Langer—7111111113
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142
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