TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046837
Played Aug 31Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611811––––
Dalimil Machander
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Heczko to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held David Heczko at 67.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 8–5 Dalimil Machander Dalimil Machander has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Heczko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1667 vs Machander 1561
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Machander 40%
Heczko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 60% vs Machander 30%
Heczko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +2 · Machander -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.73 / Machander 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Heczko)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046837
Heczko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 103 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Machander2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 78 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back35% 34 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back17% 9 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko6wins
AwayMachander4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHeczko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko66.7%2 of 3
AwayMachander42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko3Machander7n = 10Machander took 7 of 10
S2Heczko6Machander4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S3Heczko6Machander4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S4Heczko4Machander2n = 6Heczko took 4 of 6
S5Heczko2Machander1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoMachanderH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.337.2−1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 460 vs 160 / 34355.7%46.7%256 / 460 vs 160 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.73/Machander 2.00
Miss
What we said
57.3%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 09:28D. Heczko—1011119113D. Machander—12971152
LAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko—6680D. Machander—1111113
LAug 19 · 07:00D. Heczko—551161D. Machander—11119113
WAug 17 · 19:00D. Heczko—1112123D. Machander—910100
LAug 2 · 09:08D. Heczko—5310D. Machander—1111113
WAug 2 · 08:30D. Heczko—4121012113D. Machander—1110121082
LJul 22 · 07:00D. Heczko—11681192D. Machander—611119113
WJul 19 · 12:00D. Heczko—61111113D. Machander—118781
WJul 12 · 14:00D. Heczko—91113113D. Machander—1181161
WJun 21 · 20:30D. Heczko—1111113D. Machander—7870
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780
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