TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042050
Played Aug 30Finished
Dalimil Machander
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811118117––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalimil Machander to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Dalimil Machander at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 2–0 Vaclav Zidek Vaclav Zidek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Machander
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1559 vs Zidek 1650
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Zidek 20%
Machander
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 20% vs Zidek 40%
Zidek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander +1 · Zidek -4
Zidek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Machander)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.61 / Zidek 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zidek)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042050
Machander1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 53 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55
Zidek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMachander2wins
AwayZidek0wins
Machander leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMachanderZidekM − ZBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.026.5+13.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 337 vs 235 / 41546.6%56.6%157 / 337 vs 235 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekMachander 1.61/Zidek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Machander won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 6 · 14:00D. Machander—111110113V. Zidek—861251
WMay 21 · 07:00D. Machander—1115113V. Zidek—51340
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560LAug 30 · 11:30M. Heczko2.001111113D. Machander1.737780
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143LAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek1.9111911113V. Zidek1.80611851WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
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