TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13049663
Played Aug 30Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151412––––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
2.13
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 61 set 3, 14-12
61 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 1–2 Vaclav Zidek Adrian Walek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Walek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.63 / Zidek 2.13
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zidek)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13049663
Walek1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite48% won 71 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it66% 51 of 77
Zidek2.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWalek1wins
AwayZidek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderZidek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek2Zidek1n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
S2Walek2Zidek1n = 3Walek took 2 of 3
S3Walek1Zidek2n = 3Zidek took 2 of 3
S4Walek1Zidek2n = 3Zidek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWalekZidekW − ZBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.339.7+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 433 vs 235 / 41650.8%56.5%220 / 433 vs 235 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekWalek 1.63/Zidek 2.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek—11911113V. Zidek—611851
LJul 28 · 20:30A. Walek—9111091V. Zidek—11612113
LJul 13 · 07:30A. Walek—11116872V. Zidek—791111113
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143LAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek1.9111911113V. Zidek1.80611851WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
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