TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12476213
Played Aug 23Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911118115––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Zidek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 0–2 Vaclav Zidek Adrian Walek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Walek 1593 vs Zidek 1699
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 20% vs Zidek 100%
Zidek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 50% vs Zidek 90%
Zidek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek +1 · Zidek +5
Zidek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zidek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.91 / Zidek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zidek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12476213
Walek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 84 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back36% 31 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back20% 8 of 40
Zidek1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWalek0wins
AwayZidek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZidek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWalekZidekW − ZBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.044.5−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 415 vs 231 / 40550.8%57%211 / 415 vs 231 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekWalek 1.91/Zidek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 28 · 20:30A. Walek—9111091V. Zidek—11612113
LJul 13 · 07:30A. Walek—11116872V. Zidek—791111113
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
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