TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042179
Played Aug 30Finished
Vaclav Zidek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118115––––
Evzen Rychlik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Evzen Rychlik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 59 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rychlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1693 vs Rychlik 1683
Zidek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 60% vs Rychlik 80%
Rychlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 80% vs Rychlik 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek -1 · Rychlik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rychlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 2.00 / Rychlik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rychlik)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042179
Zidek2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Rychlik1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekRychlikBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 410 vs 141 / 25557.1%55.3%234 / 410 vs 141 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikZidek 2.00/Rychlik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zidek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143LAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek1.9111911113V. Zidek1.80611851WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
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