TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042167
Played Aug 30Finished
Evzen Rychlik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012811––––
David Heczko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingEvzen Rychlik above · David Heczko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 63.6%
59 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Rychlik 2–1 David Heczko David Heczko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rychlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rychlik 1660 vs Heczko 1615
Rychlik
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rychlik 60% vs Heczko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rychlik 80% vs Heczko 50%
Rychlik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rychlik -1 · Heczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Rychlik) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRychlik 1.61 / Heczko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Rychlik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042167
Rychlik1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Heczko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 53 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRychlik2wins
AwayHeczko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRychlik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rychlik1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S2Rychlik3Heczko0n = 3Rychlik took 3 of 3
S3Rychlik1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S4Rychlik1Heczko2n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRychlikHeczkoR − HBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.341.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRychlikHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 256 vs 251 / 45455.1%55.3%141 / 256 vs 251 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikRychlik 1.61/Heczko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 21 · 11:00E. Rychlik—14119113D. Heczko—1241181
WAug 8 · 09:30E. Rychlik—811116113D. Heczko—11651192
LAug 8 · 08:00E. Rychlik—1015791D. Heczko—121311113
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
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