TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13043082
Played Aug 29Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8117111012––––
Evzen Rychlik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Evzen Rychlik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 11–7 Evzen Rychlik Evzen Rychlik has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:29What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rychlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1671 vs Rychlik 1656
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Rychlik 80%
Rychlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 60% vs Rychlik 80%
Rychlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +3 · Rychlik -1
Skacelik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rychlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.83 / Rychlik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rychlik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13043082
Skacelik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rychlik1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik7wins
AwayRychlik3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik71.4%5 of 7
AwayRychlik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik7Rychlik3n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Skacelik5Rychlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Skacelik4Rychlik6n = 10Rychlik took 6 of 10
S4Skacelik4Rychlik4n = 8split evenly
S5Skacelik4Rychlik1n = 5Skacelik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikRychlikS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.239.3+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikRychlikBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 421 vs 140 / 25447.5%55.1%200 / 421 vs 140 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikSkacelik 1.83/Rychlik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rychlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 16:00R. Skacelik—118116113E. Rychlik—61151182
WJul 26 · 08:58R. Skacelik—1111113E. Rychlik—5890
LJul 26 · 08:30R. Skacelik—167110E. Rychlik—1811133
WJun 28 · 13:00R. Skacelik—1111810113E. Rychlik—68111262
WJun 28 · 11:00R. Skacelik—61114113E. Rychlik—1151251
WJun 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik—116611113E. Rychlik—81111992
WJun 14 · 16:00R. Skacelik—913116113E. Rychlik—111151122
WJun 6 · 20:59R. Skacelik—11112113E. Rychlik—751191
LJun 6 · 20:30R. Skacelik—127381E. Rychlik—101111113
LMay 17 · 09:30R. Skacelik—11961182E. Rychlik—911117113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
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