TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058192
Played Sep 2Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111151012911––
Jan Stoch
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Jan Stoch below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 5–5 Jan Stoch Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1666 vs Stoch 1505
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 40% vs Stoch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 50% vs Stoch 30%
Skacelik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -1 · Stoch -3
Stoch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stoch) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoch form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.91 / Stoch 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stoch)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058192
Skacelik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 93 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Stoch1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 14 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik5wins
AwayStoch5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik40%2 of 5
AwayStoch40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik5Stoch5n = 10split evenly
S2Skacelik5Stoch5n = 10split evenly
S3Skacelik7Stoch3n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S4Skacelik1Stoch6n = 7Stoch took 6 of 7
S5Skacelik3Stoch2n = 5Skacelik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikStochSkacelik − StochBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.341.6+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikStochBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 425 vs 40 / 10247.5%39.2%202 / 425 vs 40 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StochSkacelik 1.91/Stoch 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 13 · 15:00R. Skacelik—1011611113J. Stoch—12811862
WJun 22 · 16:00R. Skacelik—911158113J. Stoch—116131162
LJun 17 · 14:00R. Skacelik—16911982J. Stoch—1411711113
WJun 15 · 17:00R. Skacelik—1411119143J. Stoch—167611122
LJun 15 · 15:00R. Skacelik—1179101J. Stoch—51111123
WJun 8 · 17:03R. Skacelik—1111113J. Stoch—8580
LJun 8 · 15:00R. Skacelik—11711892J. Stoch—511911113
LMay 27 · 16:00R. Skacelik—49140J. Stoch—1111163
LApr 2 · 14:00R. Skacelik—7101571J. Stoch—111213113
WMar 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik—1111143J. Stoch—68120
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121
J. Stoch10
LSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142LAug 12 · 17:00J. Stoch1.83711751R. Vavrecka1.8311511113LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132LAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961WAug 12 · 14:30J. Stoch1.801111113V. Adamczyk1.914530WJul 16 · 17:02A. Walek1.731041431J. Stoch2.00121112113LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113LJul 16 · 15:30S. Byrtus2.3811117113J. Stoch1.53871191
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