TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12414348
Played Aug 12Finished
Jan Stoch
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115711511––
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Stoch above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Stoch 3–1 Radomir Vavrecka Radomir Vavrecka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoch 1.83 / Vavrecka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vavrecka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12414348
Stoch1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vavrecka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStoch3wins
AwayVavrecka1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderStoch leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStoch75%3 of 4
AwayVavreckan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stoch4Vavrecka0n = 4Stoch took 4 of 4
S2Stoch1Vavrecka3n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
S3Stoch2Vavrecka2n = 4split evenly
S4Stoch2Vavrecka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStochVavreckaS − VBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match41.037.5+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStochVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 112 vs 132 / 24841.1%53.2%46 / 112 vs 132 / 248Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaStoch 1.83/Vavrecka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 12 · 15:00J. Stoch—118961R. Vavrecka—81111113
WMay 4 · 15:00J. Stoch—118119143R. Vavrecka—711611122
WMar 30 · 17:00J. Stoch—11115113R. Vavrecka—661181
WMar 30 · 14:00J. Stoch—11611113R. Vavrecka—911381
J. Stoch10
LSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142WSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132LAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961WAug 12 · 14:30J. Stoch1.801111113V. Adamczyk1.914530WJul 16 · 17:02A. Walek1.731041431J. Stoch2.00121112113LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113LJul 16 · 15:30S. Byrtus2.3811117113J. Stoch1.53871191
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113WAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961
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R. Vavrecka
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