TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12244429
Played Jul 16Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10124111412311––
Jan Stoch
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Jan Stoch below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 77 set 4, 3-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 4–2 Jan Stoch Jan Stoch has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Walek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoch form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 1.73 / Stoch 2.00
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Walek)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12244429
Walek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 59 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 42 of 58
Stoch2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 13 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWalek4wins
AwayStoch2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderWalek leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStoch25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek1Stoch4n = 5Stoch took 4 of 5
S2Walek3Stoch2n = 5Walek took 3 of 5
S3Walek3Stoch2n = 5Walek took 3 of 5
S4Walek4Stoch1n = 5Walek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricWalekStochW − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match43.443.40.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekStochBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 322 vs 48 / 11250.3%42.9%162 / 322 vs 48 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WalekWalek 1.73/Stoch 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Walek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 16 · 16:00A. Walek—1015911113J. Stoch—121311782
WJun 22 · 17:30A. Walek—91112163J. Stoch—11610141
LJun 22 · 15:30A. Walek—11671252J. Stoch—9111110113
WJun 17 · 16:30A. Walek—81111113J. Stoch—115791
LNov 25 · 17:30A. Walek—871151J. Stoch—11118113
A. Walek10
WSep 6 · 08:59L. Martinak1.5011117452A. Walek2.50661111113LSep 6 · 08:30L. Martinak1.731111113A. Walek2.006770LSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153LSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172LSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113LSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972WSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113WSep 5 · 09:00A. Walek1.959121112113L. Martinak1.75111091442LSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113
J. Stoch10
LSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142WSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 12 · 17:00J. Stoch1.83711751R. Vavrecka1.8311511113LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132LAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961WAug 12 · 14:30J. Stoch1.801111113V. Adamczyk1.914530LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113LJul 16 · 15:30S. Byrtus2.3811117113J. Stoch1.53871191
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