TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12405278
Played Aug 12Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118119116––
Jan Stoch
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Jan Stoch below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 0–3 Jan Stoch Radomir Vavrecka has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Stoch
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1549 vs Stoch 1545
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 20% vs Stoch 40%
Stoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Stoch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -1 · Stoch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoch form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.00 / Stoch 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vavrecka)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12405278
Vavrecka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 48 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Stoch1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVavrecka0wins
AwayStoch3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStoch leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavreckan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayStoch100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka0Stoch3n = 3Stoch took 3 of 3
S2Vavrecka2Stoch1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S3Vavrecka1Stoch2n = 3Stoch took 2 of 3
S4Vavrecka1Stoch2n = 3Stoch took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVavreckaStochV − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match36.343.3−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaStochBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 246 vs 46 / 11053.3%41.8%131 / 246 vs 46 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 2.00/Stoch 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMay 4 · 15:00R. Vavrecka—711611122J. Stoch—118119143
LMar 30 · 17:00R. Vavrecka—661181J. Stoch—11115113
LMar 30 · 14:00R. Vavrecka—911381J. Stoch—11611113
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 4 · 09:30A. Rinka1.611114113R. Vavrecka2.2061230LSep 4 · 08:30A. Rinka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.805780WSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891WSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162LAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:30D. Langer1.83111110113R. Vavrecka1.83941281WAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113LAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113
J. Stoch10
LSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142WSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 12 · 17:00J. Stoch1.83711751R. Vavrecka1.8311511113LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132WAug 12 · 14:30J. Stoch1.801111113V. Adamczyk1.914530WJul 16 · 17:02A. Walek1.731041431J. Stoch2.00121112113LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113LJul 16 · 15:30S. Byrtus2.3811117113J. Stoch1.53871191
Upcoming Matches
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J. Stoch
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