TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12231993
Played Jul 16Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711119––
Jan Stoch
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Jan Stoch below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9
75 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 0–1 Jan Stoch Samuel Byrtus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoch form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 2.38 / Stoch 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Stoch)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12231993
Byrtus2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 60 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back32% 19 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Stoch1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeByrtus0wins
AwayStoch1wins
Stoch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricByrtusStochB − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.042.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusStochBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 482 vs 48 / 11050.8%43.6%245 / 482 vs 48 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StochByrtus 2.38/Stoch 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Stoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 13 · 16:30S. Byrtus—911681J. Stoch—11911113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133
J. Stoch10
LSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:30J. Stoch1.91111149113L. Martinak1.8055111142WSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 12 · 17:00J. Stoch1.83711751R. Vavrecka1.8311511113LAug 12 · 16:00D. Machander1.83121199113J. Stoch1.83103111132LAug 12 · 15:00R. Vavrecka2.0081111113J. Stoch1.73118961WAug 12 · 14:30J. Stoch1.801111113V. Adamczyk1.914530WJul 16 · 17:02A. Walek1.731041431J. Stoch2.00121112113LJul 16 · 16:00J. Stoch2.20121311782A. Walek1.611015911113
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