TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052428
Played Sep 1Finished
Josef Cabak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116115711117––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Cabak above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 58.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Josef Cabak 8–11 Samuel Byrtus Josef Cabak has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Byrtus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Byrtus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cabak 1626 vs Byrtus 1586
Cabak
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cabak 20% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cabak 30% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cabak -2 · Byrtus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCabak 1.83 / Byrtus 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Byrtus)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052428
Cabak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Byrtus1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCabak6wins
AwayByrtus4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCabak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCabak66.7%6 of 9
AwayByrtusn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cabak9Byrtus1n = 10Cabak took 9 of 10
S2Cabak6Byrtus4n = 10Cabak took 6 of 10
S3Cabak4Byrtus6n = 10Byrtus took 6 of 10
S4Cabak4Byrtus4n = 8split evenly
S5Cabak1Byrtus2n = 3Byrtus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabakByrtusC − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.4+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabakByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 188 vs 299 / 58453.2%51.2%100 / 188 vs 299 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusCabak 1.83/Byrtus 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cabak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak—111271672S. Byrtus—5101118113
WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak—11117113S. Byrtus—651171
LAug 27 · 06:00J. Cabak—116681S. Byrtus—71111113
LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak—112781S. Byrtus—81111113
WAug 14 · 10:30J. Cabak—131011113S. Byrtus—1112681
WAug 13 · 08:00J. Cabak—1211810113S. Byrtus—109111282
WAug 7 · 09:30J. Cabak—1111113S. Byrtus—6780
WAug 7 · 08:30J. Cabak—1111113S. Byrtus—9860
WJul 27 · 07:00J. Cabak—11115113S. Byrtus—971161
LJul 10 · 09:30J. Cabak—47111192S. Byrtus—111166113
J. Cabak10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691LAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113WAug 25 · 07:00J. Cabak1.801111113A. Walek1.917970
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113WAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 08:30J. Cabak1.61112781S. Byrtus2.2081111113
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